Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Splitting the Difference

We’ve now had two polls conducted in Iowa showing McCain up by six or down by 12. The problem with both of these polls is they are both done by biased organizations. So let me just split the difference.

McCain/Palin is down by six points right now in Iowa. In 2004, polling at this time in the election gave an average advantage to Bush over Kerry by 3.5 points. This comparison doesn’t look too good for McCain especially when you factor in the Palin bounce that happened everywhere, including here in Iowa.

So what does this mean for Iowa Republicans? We can’t wait any longer to get out and talk to our friends, neighbors, and families. If you are in the 1st you need to tell them how Hartsuch and Reed are everyday Joes and will not toe the establishment line. Those who are in the 2nd district need to tell them how much Miller-Meeks is a workhorse with great ideas. For those in the 3rd district, you need to convince them that Boswell is a Nancy Pelosi lapdog. Those in the 4th and 5th districts need to remind voters how lucky they are to have Latham and King who never waiver on the issues that matter most.

I don’t know if you’ve seen the absentee numbers lately, but Dems are kicking our tails all over Iowa. Right now they have 10 times the amount of absentee requests and if we keep going at this rate, we will have no chance of winning in November.

The good news is, the Dems have been outworking us for the last four years and they just barely have the edge. That tells me we are right on the issues and I believe we win on the issues. We also have a Presidential campaign gaining momentum unlike Obama’s sinking ship. If you don’t think momentum matters you may want to talk to Huckabee. He was able to keep his long enough to win decisively in Iowa. Hopefully McCain, or should I say Palin, will do the same.

So let’s get out there and turn some votes. I can’t wait to see the next Zogby, Rasmussen, or Gallup poll show McCain up by 3.5 percent.

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